Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 22.291177 25.315193 28.612225 32.476070 36.883178 41.756929 47.560618
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 17.874018 21.792418 26.385217 32.174431 39.290107 47.767569 58.659909
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 14.532622 18.883033 24.324763 31.650858 41.287710 53.575537 70.503894
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.248634 16.891208 23.063109 31.903699 44.303356 61.167248 85.999682
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.568090 15.415962 22.243058 32.615863 48.083420 70.460939 105.595788
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.074837 13.956565 21.215220 32.877066 51.309670 79.597743 126.833135
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.122297 13.139536 20.998326 34.321393 56.598252 92.798775 156.982954
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.115476 12.070083 20.219958 34.755404 60.389585 104.373952 186.957145
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.067200 10.757667 18.834080 33.940633 61.952477 112.550116 212.857017
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.279483 9.763773 17.829267 33.618380 64.340225 122.647398 244.477833
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.830564 9.308010 17.711376 34.912649 70.004309 139.934082 293.856439
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.493645 9.007788 17.834847 36.700400 76.995595 161.198374 356.207697
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.035706 8.410629 17.318553 37.187467 81.603633 178.907243 416.005747
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.496412 7.556395 16.142002 36.075467 82.589094 189.136906 461.578011
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.034501 6.790287 15.026163 34.899442 83.231263 198.825381 508.552300
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.712690 6.281051 14.390173 34.716039 86.212359 214.757845 575.598801
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.471792 5.917338 14.025411 35.121031 90.761210 235.634794 661.484241
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.235735 5.525146 13.528067 35.107338 94.264161 254.677765 747.666803
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.097524 5.351048 13.535244 36.409351 101.601850 285.778978 877.901595
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.922632 5.053525 13.180281 36.675316 106.144167 310.176068 994.864568
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.712543 4.627747 12.418471 35.662961 106.789907 323.425218 1080.266655
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.551096 4.306743 11.884626 35.205357 109.019005 342.054615 1189.311293
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.470167 4.197543 11.921783 36.465397 116.914869 380.535102 1379.589354